GlobalClimate and Weather

Will a Category 4 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?

If a Category 4 hurricane makes landfall in Tampa (defined coastal area: the coastline within the municipal boundaries of the City of Tampa, Florida) from October 9, 2026 at 4:00:00 PM EDT until, but excluding, December 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET, as reported by the National Hurricane Center, the answer is Yes.

What's your call?

Yes

Nobody has called this yet. Yours could be the first. Voting closes Dec 1.

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Question and outcome: Kalshi. CallItPoll is not affiliated with Kalshi and runs no betting or trading.

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About this poll

This is a forecast question with a clear answer. Voting closes on Tuesday, December 1, 2026 at 4:59 AM UTC. When it settles, the outcome is recorded here from the question's public source and every call is marked right or wrong.

Type: Forecast question
Topic: Climate and Weather
Voting closes: Tuesday, December 1, 2026 at 4:59 AM UTC
Status: Open for predictions
Options: Yes, No
Source: Kalshi

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